2020-2025

Driftwood’s Value-Add PLAYBOOK

Capitalizing on structural inefficiencies for Class B multifamily


Inefficiency 1: The average apartment (in Tampa Bay) requires a credit threshold that exceeds the average credit of apartment seekers in the market

~133k

~30k

Households that earn $60k - $75k annually in Tampa Bay

Available rental units between $1,667 - $2,083 in Tampa Bay

2017-2019

1980-1989

2020-2022

1990-1999

Rental Units in Florida by Year of Construction

2020-2025

The mismatch between renters and rentable units that align with their credit worthiness is consistent throughout the state of Florida.

There is overwhelming demand for market-rate workforce housing and very limited supply.

Over 90% of the units developed in the last five years throughout Florida were Class A, even though the average renter cannot afford Class A rents


Inefficiency 2: The only only way to increase the supply of quality Class B multifamily is to renovate older assets, which is a laborious process and not well suited for large out-of-state firms

540k

1970-1979

5.6%

559k

296k

447k

2000-2009

287k

2010-2019

454k

The current average rent of the units constructed from 1970-1990 is $1,478 ($1.72/SF).  The average rent of the units constructed from 2020-2025 is $2,222 ($2.20/SF).

Most of the 1970-1990-vintage assets have not been renovated in the last 15 years.  Even after extensive renovations, such assets will maintain a healthy rental gap with newer vintage properties.

Large CRE fund managers, especially out-of-state firms, are not well suited to execute the tactical selection and meticulous re-positioning of 1970s & 1980s vintage assets.


Inefficiency 3: High interest rates, very low private equity distributions over the last four years, and a lack of risk appetite for value-add from LPs, have all contributed to a significant decrease in equity liquidity for Class-B value-add multifamily

4.2%

6.5% to 7%

Sale Cap Rate for Multifamily in Tampa Properties Built from 1970-1989 Properties with >100 Units

Driftwood’s Assessment of Current Pricing

So long as equity capital is tight (for unstabilized Class-B assets), pricing will be extremely attractive, especially as institutional interest in owning multifamily in Tampa Bay has grown considerably over the last ten years.

Households that earn $60-75k annually in Jacksonville

Available rental units between $1,667 - $2,083 in Jacksonville

~63k

~21k