2020-2025
Driftwood’s Value-Add PLAYBOOK
Capitalizing on structural inefficiencies for Class B multifamily
Inefficiency 1: The average apartment (in Tampa Bay) requires a credit threshold that exceeds the average credit of apartment seekers in the market
~133k
~30k
Households that earn $60k - $75k annually in Tampa Bay
Available rental units between $1,667 - $2,083 in Tampa Bay
2017-2019
1980-1989
2020-2022
1990-1999
Rental Units in Florida by Year of Construction
2020-2025
The mismatch between renters and rentable units that align with their credit worthiness is consistent throughout the state of Florida.
There is overwhelming demand for market-rate workforce housing and very limited supply.
Over 90% of the units developed in the last five years throughout Florida were Class A, even though the average renter cannot afford Class A rents
Inefficiency 2: The only only way to increase the supply of quality Class B multifamily is to renovate older assets, which is a laborious process and not well suited for large out-of-state firms
540k
1970-1979
5.6%
559k
296k
447k
2000-2009
287k
2010-2019
454k
The current average rent of the units constructed from 1970-1990 is $1,478 ($1.72/SF). The average rent of the units constructed from 2020-2025 is $2,222 ($2.20/SF).
Most of the 1970-1990-vintage assets have not been renovated in the last 15 years. Even after extensive renovations, such assets will maintain a healthy rental gap with newer vintage properties.
Large CRE fund managers, especially out-of-state firms, are not well suited to execute the tactical selection and meticulous re-positioning of 1970s & 1980s vintage assets.
Inefficiency 3: High interest rates, very low private equity distributions over the last four years, and a lack of risk appetite for value-add from LPs, have all contributed to a significant decrease in equity liquidity for Class-B value-add multifamily
4.2%
6.5% to 7%
Sale Cap Rate for Multifamily in Tampa Properties Built from 1970-1989 Properties with >100 Units
Driftwood’s Assessment of Current Pricing
So long as equity capital is tight (for unstabilized Class-B assets), pricing will be extremely attractive, especially as institutional interest in owning multifamily in Tampa Bay has grown considerably over the last ten years.
Households that earn $60-75k annually in Jacksonville
Available rental units between $1,667 - $2,083 in Jacksonville
~63k
~21k